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Inflation data released the Fed's interest rate cut in December, but it lit up a yellow light for next year. The latest inflation data may make the Fed more cautious about the pace of interest rate cut, but not now. The latest report shows that inflation in the United States in November was in line with expectations, so investors still generally expect the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 25 basis points next week. However, stubborn price pressure also confirms the concern that the progress towards the Fed's 2% target may stagnate. This concern may prompt officials to be more restrained in predicting the number of interest rate cuts in 2025, while waiting for more evidence that inflation will steadily reach the target. Fed policymakers will release new forecasts and interest rate outlook at the end of the policy meeting in Washington on December 17-18. "I think they can safely cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December. The market is ready for this, "said Loretta Mester, former president of Cleveland Federal Reserve Bank. "However, they must reconsider next year, because now it seems that the progress of inflation has really stagnated."At least 15 people were killed in the attack on the capital of Northern Darfur, Sudan. On the 11th, government officials of Northern Darfur in western Sudan said that Sudan's rapid support forces shelled a market in El Fasher, the capital of the state, and Zam Zam refugee camp that day, which has caused 15 deaths.Bitcoin rose 5.00% in the day and is now reported at $101,492/piece.

The central government has decided to adjust the fiscal policy for next year: increase the deficit, special national debt and special debt quota. According to CCTV news broadcast, the Central Economic Work Conference was held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. When deploying the fiscal policy for next year, the meeting said that it is necessary to implement a more active fiscal policy, improve the fiscal deficit ratio, increase the issuance of ultra-long-term special government bonds, increase the issuance and use of local government special bonds, optimize the fiscal expenditure structure, and firmly grasp the bottom line of "three guarantees" at the grassroots level. According to the above-mentioned meeting arrangements, in 2025, deficit ratio will exceed 3%, ultra-long-term special national debt will exceed 1 trillion yuan, and the amount of new special debt will also exceed 3.9 trillion yuan. This means that fiscal policy will be more active next year. This is also in line with market expectations. A number of interviewed finance and taxation experts predict that deficit ratio may be 3.5%~4% next year, the ultra-long-term special national debt is expected to be 1.5 trillion yuan to 2 trillion yuan, and the amount of special debt is expected to be around 4.5 trillion yuan. Of course, this is only an expert's prediction or suggestion, and the final actual relevant data still needs to be announced during the National People's Congress in March next year. (CBN)The rate of return of the money fund has reached a record low. Since December, the rate of return of the money fund has continued to decline. The annualized rate of return of Tianhong Yubao Money Fund, the largest, fell below 1.27% on the 7th, hitting a record low. According to industry insiders, the recently released "Self-discipline Initiative on Optimizing the Self-discipline Management of Non-bank Interbank Deposit Interest Rate" has a great impact on the Monetary Fund, and the superimposed interest rate is at a low level, and the yield of the Monetary Fund may continue to decline. As the income decreases, funds will look for new directions for allocation. Wang Menghan, an analyst at Zheshang Securities, said that compared with similar products, the advantages of money funds are tax exemption, liquidity and stable net value. Among them, for institutional customers, there are still tax exemption and liquidity demands, so there is little demand for reducing the holdings of money funds. However, for non-institutional investors, because the stability of the net value of the money fund will be obviously weakened, there is a demand to reduce the holdings of the money fund. (SSE)CSI A500ETF ushered in the first dividend-paying product. On December 11th, ICBC Credit Suisse Fund announced that ICBC CSI A500ETF planned to pay dividends and became the first dividend-paying CSI A500ETF. In fact, in the current low-rate background, the dividend mechanism has gradually become a differentiated selling point of popular ETFs. Among the 22 CSI A 500 ETFs in the first batch and the second batch, 4 products have a mandatory dividend mechanism, and the dividend ratio is not less than 60%. The dividend ratio of individual products can reach 80%, and the monthly dividend frequency is set for CSI A 500 ETFs. According to the analysis of public offering, under the guidance and encouragement of policies, the dividend mechanism of A-share listed companies has been continuously improved, and the dividend level has been continuously improved. Leading enterprises in the industry often have stronger willingness to pay dividends because of their stronger profitability and anti-risk ability. ETF products meet the liquidity needs of investors through dividends, which is conducive to improving the investment experience. (Securities Times)

Verification of insider trading between Guotai Junan and Haitong Securities: 11 insiders involved in buying and selling A-shares, including executives and their families. Guotai Junan and Haitong Securities both announced that insider information related to this transaction bought and sold A-shares of Guotai Junan and Haitong Securities. The situation was verified, involving 11 related natural persons buying and selling A-shares of Guotai Junan and Haitong Securities. Including Han Zhida, vice president of Guotai Junan, Zhao Hong, chief auditor of Guotai Junan, Xiong Xiaohua, mother of Shen Yun, supervisor of Guotai Junan, Huang Guan Tu, father of Huang Wenxin, employee of Guotai Junan, and Zhou Yang, spouse of Lv Na, an overseas legal consultant of Haitong Securities and a consultant lawyer of Gao Weishen Law Firm. According to relevant documents, based on the verification scope of insider information of this transaction and the self-inspection of relevant institutions and personnel, and on the premise that the self-inspection report, relevant explanations and commitments and interview confirmation information issued by the insider information are true, accurate and complete, the buying and selling of A shares of Guotai Junan and/or Haitong Securities by the above-mentioned relevant institutions and personnel during the self-inspection period does not constitute insider trading, and their buying and selling of shares will not constitute a substantial legal obstacle to this transaction.Verification of insider trading between Guotai Junan and Haitong Securities: 11 insiders involved in buying and selling A-shares, including executives and their families. Guotai Junan and Haitong Securities both announced that insider information related to this transaction bought and sold A-shares of Guotai Junan and Haitong Securities. The situation was verified, involving 11 related natural persons buying and selling A-shares of Guotai Junan and Haitong Securities. Including Han Zhida, vice president of Guotai Junan, Zhao Hong, chief auditor of Guotai Junan, Xiong Xiaohua, mother of Shen Yun, supervisor of Guotai Junan, Huang Guan Tu, father of Huang Wenxin, employee of Guotai Junan, and Zhou Yang, spouse of Lv Na, an overseas legal consultant of Haitong Securities and a consultant lawyer of Gao Weishen Law Firm. According to relevant documents, based on the verification scope of insider information of this transaction and the self-inspection of relevant institutions and personnel, and on the premise that the self-inspection report, relevant explanations and commitments and interview confirmation information issued by the insider information are true, accurate and complete, the buying and selling of A shares of Guotai Junan and/or Haitong Securities by the above-mentioned relevant institutions and personnel during the self-inspection period does not constitute insider trading, and their buying and selling of shares will not constitute a substantial legal obstacle to this transaction.Adobe's annual performance guidance was worse than expected, and its share price fell more than 5% after hours. Adobe's adjusted EPS in the fourth quarter was $4.81, and analysts expected $4.67. Revenue in the fourth quarter was $5.61 billion, and analysts expected $5.54 billion. It is estimated that the adjusted EPS in FY 2025 will be $20.20-$20.50, and analysts expect $20.52. The adjusted EPS in the first fiscal quarter is expected to be $4.95-$5.00, and analysts expect $4.95. Adobe's U.S. stocks fell 1.81% after hours-the decline then expanded to 5.40%, and rose 0.38% before the performance report was released.